In the morning, a big tide

2025. 2. 19. 22:35U.S. Economic Stock Market Outlook

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In the morning, a big tide came in and slowly came back in. Option trading is like surfing riding a giant wave. Yesterday, I saw once again the greatness of liquidity as the U.S. bought into the market's closing price all at once. Although some of the adjustments due to the expiration of the U.S. options this week may have been mixed, the current market situation is that liquidity, especially during the COVID-19 pandemic, floats here and there after September 11, causing a tsunami and sometimes a big wave.

In Europe, investment in defense increased during the Russo-U.S. war, while related stocks in Ukraine's restoration project rose a lot due to expectations for the end of the war. There was also a rise in the European stock market, despite the rise in the number of related stocks due to the increase in leverage. China is also not easy. Hong Kong also... Korea is in a bad situation yet, but we have a perception that absolute prices are low, and the KOSPI has been on the rise as the National Pension Service has increased its stake in Korean investment.

There will be no discussion of tariffs until March, so it would not be an exaggeration to say that this is also a vacuum of tariffs. There may be many views on stocks, but I always keep an eye on the supply and demand, especially the absolute amount of money. I think the world's money released after COVID-19 is currently expensive to go to real estate, and there is something missing to bet on raw materials or comedy due to economic growth, so I think we have no choice but to continue buying IT and AI-related stocks. However, we cannot guarantee the future of science and technology. Still, while using ChatGPT and DeepSeek, I am experiencing some of the impact that this industry will have on the future. So I think it must be more attractive.

When we were studying, Peter Lynch told us to invest in companies that grow around my life rather than in science and technology stocks that catch floating clouds. I don't know if Warren Buffet bought Coca-Cola a lot. But today's trend is investing in AI and quantum computers, which neither I nor you know. The liquidity market is unlikely to break easily until liquidity eventually decreases or until we have a result that AI and quantum are not as big a deal as we expected.  

This is the world of businessman Trump. His goal is to control inflation and stabilize finances, and lead a diplomatic agreement between Israel and Saudi Arabia to win the Nobel Peace Prize and have his sons become U.S. presidents in the future. Let's always remember that Trump is a businessman. 走 加鞭

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