Larry Williams' review of the 2025 outlook

2025. 1. 1. 17:55U.S. Economic Stock Market Outlook

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Larry Williams' review of the 2025 outlook

Larry Williams's forecast for 2024 was truly useful. Based on the expected economic and stock price fluctuations in the 'Election Year', the year's strategy was established and approached from the beginning of the year, and all the plans for 2024 were accomplished.

However, Larry Williams' forecast for 2025 is difficult to agree with. The reason is that I think 2025 is difficult to explain simply as a combination of a simple economic cycle, a first-year new president, and a 5-10-year cycle.

1. The main reason is that I think one big cycle of the AI cycle is approaching. Larry Williams denies the AI-driven technology cycle. However, I believe that AI is not just the kind of technology that has been around so far, but has the power to change the path of mankind forever, and has the influence comparable to the birth of the Internet. Looking at various data, the industrialization of AI is still only in its infancy.

2. Trump and Musk's DOGE-Government spending tightening and streamlining efforts. It's still unclear what impact this committee will have on the market. However, I don't forget Elon Musk's comment that it's going to be 'tough in the beginning'. I think he's really good at stocks. Overall, his macroeconomic predictions worked well. Doesn't he know the economic cycle and the waves as well? There comes a moment when all the incongruity accumulates in the current cycle and a ruinous decline will inevitably come anyway. But wouldn't the planned future change if we intentionally create an economic downturn before that and use the strength of the downturn to succeed in various reforms? However, I just don't think the market will stagnate immediately because I think we'll know at least a few quarters before the committee's activities become visible.

3. Larry Williams has also set a backup outlook that did not exist before because he sensed some unknown uncertainty. There is a lot of uncertainty at the beginning of 2025, unlike at the beginning of 2024, when the path was clear. Only by watching the flow of the market will we know. What is clear, though, is that money is earned by positivists.

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