Let's write down briefly what you were thinking about the war in Ukraine.

Let's write down briefly what you were thinking about the war in Ukraine.

1.

I think the victory or defeat of this war is already out. Russia has lost.

Briefly explain why.

Although the criteria for judging the victory or defeat of a war are not fixed, in general, according to the view that war is an extended means of politics, it is correct to judge it based on "Have you achieved the political purpose you are trying to achieve with war?"

The war in Ukraine was started by Russia. Putin's goal was to end this war in a short period of time, to show off Russian military power to the West, and to secure Russian control in Eastern Europe. Putin, of course, used a different cause, but it was not difficult to guess what the real purpose was.

However, Putin has already failed to achieve this goal. The war has dragged on for too long, and Russia's military confidence in the world's second-largest has already been completely destroyed. It has been confirmed that Russia's expansion can be prevented by simply providing weapons, etc., without the US participating in the war directly, and the evaluation of Russian-made weapons has also fallen.

Additionally, Russia had to use up too much military might. As a result of economic issues, Russia's next-generation weapons platforms were virtually turned upside down, but it is now incorrect for Russia's top weapons, such as the Armatana Su-57, to be produced enough to balance China, let alone the United States.

Naturally, Russia's dominance is bound to weaken. The Ukraine War is not a low-intensity conflict or guerrilla war that has taken place frequently since the Cold War. It is an all-out war that aims to establish and annihilate the front lines. Everyone has seen that Russia cannot do anything about Ukraine in this war. It has become obvious to anyone that the choice between Russia and the United States should be made. Furthermore, as the war dragged on for many years, Eastern European countries such as Poland strengthened their arms. If it were before the Ukraine War, everyone would have thought that if there was a war between Poland and Russia, Russia would win. However, no one can guarantee that Russia will win now.

If the war ends as it is, Russia will have to settle for a little bit more autonomy over Ukraine. But now Ukraine is a 100 percent pro-Western country. It used to be pro-Russian in Ukrainian politics until the war, but now it will become a traitor if it sides with Russia in Ukraine. When the war ends, Western countries will, of course, give Ukraine intensive support to keep Russia in check. There's no way Putin can do this.

It has been a long time since NL self-proclaimed experts argued that Russia would win while talking about the battle, but even assuming that all the Russian propagandists they are sending in are true, what they have just said cannot be changed. It is not only about forgetting the nature of the war to discuss victory or defeat over individual battle results, but on that basis, the Soviet Union lost the toxin war and Vietnam lost the Vietnam War. The loss of lives in the Soviet Union and Vietnam was much greater than in Germany and the United States. Is that so? Even Germany and the United States cannot claim that.

The war in Ukraine has already been won and lost.

2.

In any modern war, the principle is that the side that started the war is worse than the one that started it. I mentioned earlier that war is one of the political tools, and this view is an unchanging truth from east to west, with all forms of the Sonja Army Law to Clausjevitz appearing, but these are not times when powerful people can easily kill people if they want. War cannot be justified under any pretext. That is modern standards.

There are many claims that Zelensky is a bad guy. I don't know how far it is true and how far it is Russian propaganda, but I think some of it is true. It is also old common sense that a lie must be mixed with the truth in order to work.
But a bad guy doesn't justify a Russian invasion. Just think about World War II. All the Allied Powers in World War II were imperialists, and their leaders were often immoral. No, in terms of personal morality, Axis leaders were often much cleaner. But no one really thinks Germany or Japan's aggression was justified. Japan launched an air strike on Pearl Harbor because the United States tried to stop Japan from invading China and eventually cut off its most important oil supply. But there isn't a single real expert who thinks that justifies Japan's start of the Pacific War. But because Zelensky leans toward the West, there are too many "progressive" experts who justify Putin's invasion of Ukraine. If that's justified, why would the United States, which tolerated our country's dictatorship to keep the communist expansion in check? The United States didn't even invade our country directly?

Russia's invasion of Ukraine has to be evaluated on its own, and the answer is clear. And in evaluating this, neither Zelenskyy's morality nor Ukraine's political choice can be a justification. War has to be evaluated as war itself.

3.

Those who praise Russia seem to think that the war in Ukraine has made Russia a great superpower, but in reality, it is the opposite. I think China benefited the most from this war. This is because I think it has been confirmed that Russia is no longer a country that can borrow from China.

But you all know that China is also not in a good situation. China is also in a bad situation because the U.S. will put more pressure on China.

Contrary to the wishes of all NL people, it is likely that the U.S.-centered world order will eventually be strengthened. China is also likely to make extreme choices as Russia has with the emergence of dictators, and such choices have never been wise. If China makes extreme choices, it will be a tragedy for everyone, including China.

I hope everything will be fine in East Asia,

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