2024. 7. 18. 13:55ㆍU.S. Economic Stock Market Outlook
US Stock Tesla Options Status - Not Yet!
Figure 1. As the high call/put option premium continues to fall, the stock price continues to fall in the same way.
Tesla has been boosted by options before, making it harder to afford a high premium, and as options trading volume shrink, the premium falls, the stock is falling.
That's why you have to be careful if it's raised dramatically by options, and it's the domain of the holder.
Figure 2. In fact, you can see that the trading volume that we have on the options has decreased, and the premium at the top is also going down, but it's still pretty high at 62.
Figure 3. Looking at the positioning of the options forces right now, I think we still need to look conservative. As shown below, $260 call options have weakened and $240 put options have strengthened Tesla's trading range is likely to be between 240 and 250.
$260 call option
1.74K —> 1.38K (bottom pressure weakened)
$240 put option (boosting downward pressure)
1.31K —> 1.97K
Figure X. This is the market maker's delta-hazing status. When a market maker first sells a call option to someone else, what a market maker does is buy a stock in advance and prepare for when the stock goes up.
(Because when the stock price goes up, the market maker buys the stock and gives it to you when the call option is exercised, so you buy it as a hedging measure to reduce the damage in advance.)
And if you look at it, there's a Tesla stock that you bought for $250 and if Tesla were to trade at $250 under, the market maker would be looking to sell this stock.
If the $240 range is important, and the price goes under $240, the market maker will also try to throw in the heather at $240 and $245 (because the meaning of the heathering disappears)
Figure 4. Looking at the supply and demand status, CONSUMER DISCRETION, where Tesla is located, eventually came down to WEAKENING. Tesla should be viewed conservatively because this means that supply and demand may deteriorate.
It doesn't mean selling to be conservative here. Tesla is a company with a strong fundamental and no NET DEBT. It just means it's not suitable for a sale or a new position.
The best time to get a position is
1. Is it undervalued or appropriate in terms of valuations?
2. Is the option premium low?
3. Is the supply and demand status in areas other than LEADING?
4. Are there a lot of call options at the top of the options indicator?
5. Are the growth prospects for companies good?
6. Is your financial position good?
When Tesla was under $200 in the past, I was satisfied with all of the above categories. However, Tesla is already up a lot compared to its low point, so it's in a position of sideways and downward pressure on the chart.
First of all, I think we have to keep an eye on it! If we find better indicators, I'll let you know then.
Personally, I think the current flow of crude oil sector will be very good in the future. I'll give you an update later on crude oil fundamentals. Fighting together!
First of all, since there are a lot of put options at $240, I think $240 will serve as a support.
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