2024. 8. 12. 01:40ㆍU.S. Economic Stock Market Outlook
What Happens When America Goes into a Recession
The U.S. Fed is trying to reverse its policy direction by 180 degrees toward lowering interest rates while it has not yet met its price stability goal, which proves that the central bank and the U.S. government also feel that the possibility of a recession has become very serious
In the meantime, I personally predicted through FACEBOOK that the U.S. would not be able to avoid a recession in the second half of this year, but after all, the U.S. government and the Fed have now acknowledged that the U.S. is entering a recession
If the U.S. economy enters a recession, the U.S. unemployment rate will soar in a relatively short period of time, and even if the U.S. Fed cuts policy rates rapidly, the stock market will eventually undergo a significant adjustment
Considering that the U.S. stock market already contains about 60% of the long-term trend line, a significant downward adjustment seems inevitable, considering the Buffett Indicator, which is one of the means of measuring market bubbles
I'd like to point out in advance that it's no surprise that after the second half of this year, there will be a hell of a world in which unemployment of many 草 and stock prices will surge and plunge
Much insecurity and pain is expected for the American 草, and in fact, much of the responsibility is the aftermath and karma of the incompetent U.S. Treasury Department and the central bank Fed, which have intervened too deeply in the free market economy through poor interest rate policies and fiscal spending
In a recent book (FED UP) published by an economist who has worked at the Fed in the U.S. for more than a decade, the Fed, the U.S. central bank, criticizes it for ruining the U.S. economy, although it may help Wall Street
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